Kentucky Derby Past Performances: Winners, Trends, Famous Expert Predictions

Each year since 1971, Eclipse Awards are given to the elite runners from each division, as well as to racing’s top owner, breeder and jockeys. The awards, which are named for foundation sire Eclipse, are voted on a three-body panel consisting of the National Thoroughbred Racing Association (NTRA), the National Turf Writers and Broadcasters Association (NTWAB), and the Daily Racing Form (DRF). But even before the awards were known as Eclipses, championship honors were handed out via various polling entities.

Kentucky Derby Past Winners

And throughout history a total of 64 Kentucky Derby winners have been crowned champion 3-year-old.

Secretariat – Photo courtesy of Bob Coglianese / NYRA

Additionally, 78 juvenile champions made the gate for the Kentucky Derby with 21 wearing the garland of roses after crossing the finish line in front. The most recent 2-year-old champion to win the Derby was Nyquist in 2015.

Every one but one of the 13 Triple Crown winners was crowned Horse of the Year, the only exception was Omaha in 1935. He lost the title to the 4-year-old Discovery, who won 11 of 19 starts that year, and defeated Omaha in that year’s Brooklyn Handicap.

Four Kentucky Derby winners are two-time Horse of the Year winners — Whirlaway (1941-42), Secretariat (1972-73), Affirmed (1978-79) and California Chrome (2014, ’16). A Kentucky Derby winner has been crowned Horse of the Year after its 3-year-old season nine times — Old Rosebud (1917), Exterminator (1922), Whirlaway (1942), Swaps (1956), Affirmed (1979), Spectacular Bid (1980), Ferdinand (1987), Alysheba (1988) and California Chrome (2016).

So far, 36 Kentucky Derby winners are members of racing’s Hall of Fame.

RELATED: Kentucky Derby 2020 Updates: Baffert Optimistic, Tiz The Law Ready

Kentucky Derby Trends and Predictions

In the 146 previous runnings of the Kentucky Derby a total of 1,923 3-year-olds have loaded into the Churchill Downs starting gate on the first Saturday in May, with names representing each letter of the alphabet, except X. Horses beginning with “S” lead the way with 19 winners, while there haven’t been any winners at all whose names begin with the letters “Q” or “Y’. This year, 11 letters are represented in the field of probables, three are “A”, three are “M” and three are “S”.

Kentucky Derby Favorite Tiz the Law

There have been 109 Kentucky Derby starts for horses beginning with letter “T”, from those 109 starts, just 5 (4.5%) have come through with the victory on the Run of the Roses. Today, Tiz the Law won’t just have against him his post position (no horse has won from post position 17), but he will also have to go against one of the top 2 worst win rates by a beginning letter of a Kentucky Derby Horse.

Expert prediction: Tiz the Law will come through and continue his quest for a Triple Crown.

RELATED: Heptadecaphobia In The Kentucky Derby

Letters representing Derby winners

       Wins   Start      Last Winner, Year

A          11        97        Always Dreaming, 2017

B          13        192      Big Brown, 2008

C          13        149      Country House, 2019

Tiz the Law winning at Belmont Stakes 2020

Tiz the Law winning at Belmont Stakes 2020 – Photo Courtesy of Chelsea Durand/NYRA

D          7          109      Dust Commander, 1970

E          2          50        Exterminator, 1918

F          7          92        Funny Cide, 2003

G          8          87        Giacomo, 2005

H          5          84        Hill Gail, 1952

I           2          41        I’ll Have Another, 2012

J           5          47        Justify, 2018

K          2          34        Kauai King, 1966

L           7          81        Lil E. Tee, 1992

M         9          117      Mine That Bird, 2009

N          3          40        Nyquist, 2016

O          4          45        Orb, 2013

P          7          114      Pleasant Colony, 1981

Q          0          7

R          5          94        Real Quiet, 1998

S          19        203      Super Saver. 2010

T          5          109      Thunder Gulch, 1995

U          1          16        Unbridled, 1990

V          2          36        Venetian Way ,1960

W         7          69        War Emblem, 2002

X          0          0

Y          0          3

Z          1          7          Zev, 1923